Week ending March 5, 2010
Review of the emerging-markets bond sector, including: news, spreads, issuance and Payden & Rygel's outlook.
Emerging market dollar-pay debt spreads tightened this
week. Encouraging economic releases in the US brought back
some positive risk sentiment which drove equity indices
higher and credit spreads tighter. The US dollar-pay JP
Morgan EMBI Global index returned 2.53 % (year-to-date
through March 4th, 2010).
In Malaysia, the Central Bank raised its benchmark interest
rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, surprising market analysts
who had expected no change. The tone of the statement following
the announcement was more hawkish, citing the potential negative
effects on the financial system of leaving monetary policy
too loose for too long. The front end of the local curve
was weaker.
In Indonesia, the Central Bank kept its policy
rate unchanged at 6.5%, in line with expectations. With Bank
Indonesia comfortable with the inflation outlook, they will
likely remain “on hold” for the foreseeable future
in order to maintain the momentum of growth for the country
this year.
| Spreads |
3/4/10 |
12/31/09 |
9/30/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
12/29/06 |
| EMBI Global |
+301 |
+294 |
+337 |
+724 |
+254 |
+171 |
| Investment Grade |
+195 |
+187 |
+240 |
+525 |
+162 |
+101 |
| BB-rated |
+388 |
+385 |
+413 |
+838 |
+271 |
+176 |
| B-rated |
+563 |
+559 |
+649 |
+1,506 |
+473 |
+238 |
| Yields |
3/4/10 |
12/31/09 |
9/30/09 |
12/31/08 |
12/31/07 |
12/29/06 |
| GBI-EM Global Div |
7.13 |
7.30 |
7.13 |
7.54 |
7.56 |
6.72 |
| Brazil (Ba1/BBB+) |
11.76 |
12.14 |
11.60 |
12.65 |
12.69 |
12.19 |
| Indonesia (B1/ BB+) |
9.70 |
10.23 |
10.20 |
11.84 |
10.18 |
10.16 |
| Turkey (Ba3/BB) |
9.40 |
9.40 |
8.99 |
16.50 |
16.10 |
19.45 |
Visit the Weekly Emerging Markets Review & Outlook archives page to browse past editions of the publication.